Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 40.435176 47.752112 55.777833 65.202803 75.934650 87.740370 101.675048
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.135472 37.433712 48.645996 63.026361 80.831257 101.995332 128.881808
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.949131 32.073842 45.209590 63.208582 86.897522 116.648876 156.423098
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.074614 28.617126 43.164488 64.212634 93.311441 131.480408 184.569656
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.651404 23.446968 37.823731 59.764885 91.567538 135.032706 197.760925
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.844536 21.758128 37.058300 61.426641 98.085960 149.809540 226.594084
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.901814 19.471776 35.004041 60.803584 101.042287 159.574342 248.823413
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.228329 19.172703 35.973908 64.818283 111.083438 179.975394 287.181193
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.356757 16.407599 32.502697 61.305875 109.138269 182.440050 299.368752
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.686446 15.754164 32.523674 63.487978 116.257320 198.856013 333.022514
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.407542 15.817230 33.802107 67.886027 127.222617 221.721737 377.490770
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.810455 15.118618 33.577743 69.582739 133.745637 237.873906 412.266701
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.980366 13.872837 32.359939 69.755906 138.372332 252.356795 447.028194
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.038917 12.178211 30.040264 67.686656 139.046972 260.679446 472.906840
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.454703 11.188491 28.996964 67.904176 143.757699 275.927205 510.769083
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.024516 10.479395 28.432547 68.973085 150.056423 294.168532 554.427312
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.296483 8.743523 25.256123 64.247876 144.941780 292.175431 563.810331
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.057293 8.351811 25.153054 66.013793 152.479150 312.941690 613.067469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.731767 7.591778 24.014534 65.351748 155.101636 324.925977 647.556289
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.665050 7.666654 25.011610 69.616586 168.012188 356.430642 717.815939
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.293931 6.555344 22.685278 65.885478 164.064854 356.293358 731.556809
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.187050 6.381473 22.890767 68.203681 173.033102 381.002193 791.241894
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.161176 6.521350 24.011343 72.873777 187.368568 416.660380 872.326857